Jets 38, Bills…a lot less than 38.

A new week, a new opponent, a new game…and the same result for our lovely Bills fan.

What it feels like to be a Bills fan these days

Sigh…although I didn’t pay a whole lot of attention to the game, really. I stepped out to do a bit of shopping before the game started, so I didn’t tune in until the 2nd quarter was underway. Turns out I didn’t miss much. A few notes:

:: For some reason, it seemed like the color was off on my teevee, because a lot of the reds were showing up a vibrant pink. Turned out that they were actually pink. There was a lot of pink stuff at the Stadium today, from the players’ shoes and gloves and even their towels, to the pom-poms held by the cheerleaders, even to the cords for the refs’ whistles. This was apparently a “Breast Cancer Awareness Month” thing, as that month is October.

:: I still think that any possible bright spots for this team are to be found on the offensive side of the ball.

:: But that’s kind of like saying “Hmmmm, the turd floating in that punch bowl seems a bit smaller and less stinky than the turd floating in this punch bowl.” I like the effort that receivers Steve Johnson and David Nelson display, and obviously CJ Spiller is a star waiting to happen. Hopefully he’s still got something in the tank when the Bills finally manage to put together a team capable of controlling the line of scrimmage.

:: Ryan Fitzpatrick tries really hard to play like an NFL quarterback. He’s got the mindset. He doesn’t have the physical tools. That’s a shame.

:: I’ve never hated Dan Deirdorf as a color guy, personally, even though I’ve never once met anyone else who didn’t think he was a giant windbag. But today he said something so dumb that it really caught my attention. LaDanian Tomlinson raced right up the middle for a long TD run (25 yards or thereabouts), on which Donte Whitner completely whiffed. Deirdorf then said, “Donte Whitner is one of the best tacklign safeties in the NFL.” How the CBS Sports people let him say stuff like that without fining or firing him is beyond me. Whitner is not, and has never been, a good tackler. What Whitner does well is…yeah, we’ll get back to you when we figure out what that is.

:: The Bills gave linebacker Chris Kelsay a contract extension last week for quite a lot of money. He then promptly went out onto the field and did what he always does: miss the play, each time. Why they felt the need to extend his deal is one of the great mysteries right now of Buffalo sports.

:: Buffalo’s secondary did a lot of trash-talking before the season as to how good they thought they could be. Four games in: zero INTs, lots of bad tackling, bad coverage all around. Yes, a pass rush would help them. No, the Bills do not have a pass rush. None of that matters.

:: 2011 Draft First Overall Pick Watch: the Cleveland Browns got into the ‘win’ column today, which makes the Bills the last remaining team in the AFC with zero wins. In the NFC, the 49ers, Lions, and Panthers are all sitting on 0-4 records, just like the Bills, so Buffalo still has to continue losing in order to stay at the top of the First Overall Pick heap. Now, assuming that this group of teams forms the top of the draft pecking order in some way, the Bills can still get a break, even if they draft fourth behind San Fran, Detroit and Carolina, since each of those teams already has the quarterback they probably want to go ahead with (barring a career-ending injury to Alex Smith, Matthew Stafford or Jimmy Clausen, respectively). Yes, Cleveland might be dangerous to move into that group as well, but they’ve got one win already…and they play the Bills later this season, so they’ve got at least a 2-14 season in the bag! Let’s go Bills! Keep that season circling the drain!!!

:: Next week: the Jaguars come to town, bringing Buffalo’s recently-jettisoned former starting quarterback, Trent Edwards, along for the ride. The Jags aren’t usually all that great, but they’re coming to Buffalo, folks. Better get ready for some more pie!

Ready...aim....

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I wanna be a sportswriter

Jerry Sullivan of the Buffalo News, today:

We ought to be talking about Chan Gailey’s first win as the Bills’ head coach today. God knows what took him so long, but he figured out that Ryan Fitzpatrick gave his team a better chance to win than Trent Edwards. He was right.

Jerry Sullivan, five days ago:

But this move, pulling the rug out two weeks into the regular season, smacks of desperation. It makes Gailey look weak and wishy-washy, and leads me to wonder if he’s even remotely as sharp an offensive mind as we’ve been led to believe.

Sullivan is an odd case. When the Bills play poorly, he is negative to a relentless degree, and when he is on the radio shows the next day after a loss, he is often bitter and/or downright angry. After last week’s loss, he was so furious on the radio show the next morning (I listen to it on my way to work) that I almost felt Sullivan’s spittle coming through my speakers. This from a guy who constantly claims to be the dispassionate voice, the objective observer of Buffalo sports with no personal stake in the matter as a fan. He loves to talk about what “you fans” accept and what “you fans” do wrong in supporting these teams, but really — would someone who isn’t a fan get as angry as Sullivan does?

And it often leads him to contradictory positions. Through much of the offseason, Sullivan insisted over and over again that the Bills, as a franchise, need to “bottom out”. This means finally just becoming so bad as to lose enough games to end up picking in the top three of the draft, so they could conceivably grab a really good quarterback. (Although frankly, had they picked first this year, I’d have wanted them to take Suh, the defensive stud who went to Detroit.) “They need to bottom out! They need to be really bad before they can move forward! They need to bottom out! They need to suck before they can be good again!”

And yet, after last week’s game against the Packers, in which the Bills played as poorly as I’ve ever seen a Bills team play, Sullivan was on the radio the next morning, spouting his “I’m not a fan” rage over the airwaves. When one of the show’s co-hosts pointed out that Sullivan wanted them to “bottom out” and that they were doing exactly what he wanted them to do, Sully’s response was one of the lamest I’ve ever heard: “I want them to bottom out with the right people.”

And now, here he is: “Benching Trent Edwards is a horrible move that reeks of desperation! But it’s also the exact right decision!”

Yeah, I want to be a sportswriter. Because you never have to be consistent.

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New Pats, same as the Old Pats

Well, that was pretty much a predictable result for the Bills venturing onto the field against a team they’ve beaten once in the last twenty times (or something like that…I’m not digging too far into the history here). In fact, that’s pretty much the way it’s gone for the Bills each year versus New England: they play them fairly tough the first time they see them, and then get steamrolled the second time. Luckily, the Bills don’t see the Pats again until very late in the year. Second to last game, if I recall correctly.

But on a “big picture” kind of note, this was the kind of game I was hoping to see more of from the Bills this year. I figured they’d lose. A lot. Because they’re lacking in talent in a lot of areas. So I was hoping to at least see some impressive losses, losses in which we see flashes of good play from youngsters on the team; I wanted to see some hint that the team at least has some potential play-making talent to serve as the basis for a real rebuilding project, as opposed to the perennial “We think we can win with the guys we got” thinking that’s dominated the organization for most of this decade. And today, we saw a bit of that. Really good play from the secondary. Some real explosiveness from CJ Spiller. Blocking from the young offensive line (well, Cornell Green excepted, who is old and crappy) that wasn’t cover-your-eyes awful. Plays from young receivers. And, in general, a sense from the team that no matter what happens, they’re not going to just roll over and play dead. That’s exactly what they showed today, so even though they lost, I can’t be too upset about it. If the majority of their losses this year look like today’s, then I’ll go into the offseason thinking, maybe, they’ve finally got something of a foundation to work with.

But yes, it’s still a loss, so chalk up another pie in the face for Bills fans!

What it feels like to be a Bills fan these days

But on the bright side, at least this one was like getting hit with your favorite kind of pie. At least the flavor of the Bills’ latest splat upon the football field isn’t objectionable. (The first two games? Those were pies made of shaving cream. Ugh!)

A couple of random notes:

:: For all their losing to the Pats, the Bills have sacked Tom Brady more than any other team. That’s probably because now-retired Aaron Schobel sacked Brady more times than anybody else.

:: Steve Johnson seems to have taken his demotion from #2 receiver to #3 receiver pretty well, because he actually made some plays today.

:: Ryan Fitzpatrick’s first interception was awful, but on the second, it looked like the intended receiver (can’t remember who, will have to watch a highlight) wasn’t watching for the ball. If he had been, he could have made a play on it, or at least broken up the pick. It looked like the pick happened before the receiver even realized the ball was on its way.

:: Gilette Stadium really looks like a great place to watch a football game, doesn’t it? Even setting aside the enormous phallic symbol that stands just beyond one the open end zone. What’s that supposed to be, anyway?

:: For all the tongue-bathing the announcers gave Tom Brady, the Pats don’t look especially impressive to me, particularly on defense. They could have some headaches in store for them down the road.

:: Great moments in sportscasting: When Danny Woodhead scored a rushing TD, the color guy said, “Danny Woodhead — there’s a name you don’t hear about scoring much for the Patriots!” That’s because until a week ago, Danny Woodhead wasn’t even on the Patriots. This is like saying “Wow, Troy Aikman hasn’t thrown a touchdown for the NY Giants in forever!” Better announcers, please.

:: Great Scott, the Bills are bad at linebacker. What a train wreck they are at that position. I almost think that’s the most important thing they need to address next offseason (after drafting a quarterback, that is).

Next week, the Bills come home to host the Jets, another team they always seem to play tough and tight, no matter which team is supposed to be good and which is supposed to stink. Game on!

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Yeesh

Packers 34, Bills 7. Another pie in the face for Bills fans, hooray!!

Wow, it’s fun being a Bills “fan”. It’s fun watching their fourth-year quarterback struggling to get to 100 yards passing; it’s fun seeing him get sacked six times; it’s fun seeing the defense play pretty well but ultimately wear down because they’re on the field forever; it’s fun seeing the line’s inability to block anyone; it’s fun seeing the receivers’ inability to get open or make plays.

Mostly, though, it’s fun when the game ends.

Yeesh, indeed. The Bills have been bad for the entire run of this blog (this is the ninth season during which I’ve been blogging), but right now? This is the worst they’ve been, that I can remember. They may even be worse right now than they were in 2001. I knew they were going to stink, but I had hoped for some small bright spot here and there. Not so much, though.

(But we can console ourselves by following the University of Washington’s football team, right? Because that’s where Jake Locker, the guy currently touted to be next year’s #1 pick in the Draft, plays? Sure…and then we see that yesterday, against Nebraska, Locker went 4 for 20, 71 yds, 1 TD, and 2 INTs. Hope springs eternal!)

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“Poor drafting, front office. The penalty will be assessed for the next ten years.”

It’s football time, woo-hoo!

From Byzantium's Shores: chronicling the misadventures of an overalls-clad hippie

Yup, the NFL season “begins” today. That’s in quotes because last Thursday night, the Saints and Vikings played the first official game of the season. But nobody takes Thursday night seriously as a football season start. The NFL is about Sunday. And maybe Monday night. Not Thursday.

So, it’s time to watch the Buffalo Bills lace ’em up and take the field at Ralph Wilson Stadium (and once at Ye Former Skydome in Toronto) in their eternal quest to win the Super Bowl make the playoffs look respectable not suck as much as some other teams. Bills fans have had a sorry time of it for ten years now; generally speaking, we’ve had only the sporadic chance to truly utter a genuine Woo-hoo! over our football team. More often — and by a factor of at least ten — our reaction to watching football in Buffalo has been like this:

From Byzantium's Shores: chronicling the misadventures of an overalls-clad hippie

No matter how much the start of the last ten Bills seasons has felt like this…

Somehow, at the end of the year, it always ends up feeling like this…

From Byzantium's Shores: chronicling the misadventures of an overalls-clad hippie

…and not in a good way, either.

How then is this season likely to turn out? Well, as I’m a sci-fi geek, let me make a sci-fi geek reference.

One of my favorite episodes of Firefly — well, the show only had a dozen or so episodes, so they’re all my favorites, but never mind on that — has Captain Reynolds and pilot Wash getting kidnapped by a bad guy they stiffed out of some money in an earlier episode. This guy is torturing them on his own private space station, so the crew of Serenity decides, after recovering Wash from the guy, to mount a commando-type rescue operation to retake their Captain. Problem is, they don’t really know how many guards the bad guy has, or how strong his defenses are, or how good his space station’s scanners are, and so on. They’re going on a lot of guesswork, which leads Serenity muscleman and all-around brute Jayne Cobb to growl, “I smell a whole lotta ‘if’ comin’ off this plan.”

Well, that’s how I see the Buffalo Bills this year. I small a whole lotta ‘if’ comin’ off this team.

I’ve heard a lot of griping and complaining and outright bitching during the offseason about the upcoming season and the roster that’s taking shape, but my view generally is this: the last crew in command (head coach Dick Jauron and former GM Marv Levy) left the roster in a really bad spot, talent-wise. So the new guys have a lot of work to do. It started last year, actually, with what is now looking like a pretty good 2009 draft class (although we’re still waiting on first pick Aaron Maybin to start producing some pass rush, or some tackling, or just being in the general vicinity of the ball). The 2010 draft class, managed by new GM Buddy Nix and new head coach Chan Gailey, looks promising, but…well, that’s part of the ‘if’ I’m smellin’ off this team.

What it boils down to is simply this: for the Bills to have a good 2010 season, they need to hit on just about every rookie or second-year guy who is on the roster, and they need to hit on those guys pretty spectacularly. They need their two second-year guards, drafted last year, to continue to improve after looking pretty good last year. They need a flock of young receivers to demonstrate ability to get open, catch the ball, and produce yardage. They need a flock of young linebackers and inexperienced linebackers to produce (one of their starting linebackers is a converted defensive end). They need someone to become a good tight end. They need their defensive line to show some stoutness. They need Trent Edwards to finally take a step forward at quarterback. And most desperately, they need the tackles on the offensive line to not suck.

That, folks, is a lot to hope for from a young team. It’s probably too much to hope for, which is why I’m mentally penciling the Bills in for a season that will look pretty bad, if all you focus on is the won-lost record.

Now, that’s not all I focus on, and frankly, my mantra is the same as it’s been for quite a few years now with this team: I don’t mind if their record is crappy at the end, as long as I’m seeing young players making plays at times and showing improvement as the season goes on and basically as long as I’m seeing some evidence that this group of guys can grow into a pretty good team another year or two down the line. That certainly hasn’t been the case in recent Bills seasons, when at the end, I’m always thinking, “Yay, they stunk again and their young players still aren’t producing”. I don’t expect the seed to produce a full-sized oak tree this year, but it sure would be nice to see the seed sprouting. Every year it’s the same: “Hey, we got a dud seed. Need a new one for next year.”

Ultimately, I expect the Bills to finish with one of the NFL’s worst records and probably secure a draft spot in the top five. That might be the best thing, actually, for the franchise: squeeze what they can out of the young talent they have right now, and use next year’s improved draft position to plug in more talent. Buddy Nix seems to have the best grasp on players that any Bills front-office guy has shown in years, and I also like his approach thus far to rebuilding the roster. I was fine with his not drafting a quarterback last year (until the 7th round, and that guy didn’t even make the practice squad); if he truly felt that none of the guys available was lighting his fire, then his decision to not try to force one anyway but instead build a better team everywhere else and try again next year was a good one. So who knows; maybe next year we’re watching Jake Locker suit up for the Bills on opening day.

I do think that it will take a miraculous year from Trent Edwards for him to still be here next season. I’m talking big-time numbers here, even if they’re likely to be in a lot of losses because the Bills’ defense right now is pretty soft. If Edwards does anything less than, oh, start 14 games, throw over 20 TDs and under 15 INTs, and have a passer rating of 90 or above, then I don’t want him here next year. It’s that simple. We’ve seen about all we can of him, at this point. He either needs to have a big year, or the Bills need to turn the page when his lackluster year is over.

My “nightmare” scenario is another 7-9 finish, with the Bills again picking in the 11 through 15 spot next year, taking them out of consideration for the top QBs in the draft. That would be bad. But I also think it’s unlikely, because the defense is likely to give up a ton of points. The offense may improve a bit, so to me, the likely scenario is that we’ll have to endure the Bills being on the bummer end of a lot of 38-24 kinds of games. And my prediction for their final record? 4-12. You heard it here…when you heard it here, folks!

As for the rest of the NFL? My predictions, which are always wrong!

AFC

East: New England
North: Baltimore
South: Indianapolis
West: San Diego
Wildcards: NY Jets, Cincinnati

NFC

East: Dallas
North: Green Bay
South: New Orleans
West: San Francisco
Wildcards: Washington, Minnesota

Random notes:

:: I really think this is the year Brett Favre’s age is going to catch up with him, and that after a lackluster season this year (I’m not even sure they’re a lock to make the playoffs), the Vikings will ultimately regret their dalliance with him. I think this is almost certainly his last season, which means that the Vikes will have to go into next year looking for a new QB. And I’m not sure how much longer their current window of opportunity will remain open. Their defense is full of guys who aren’t getting any younger.

:: For the record: I was not upset when the Bills didn’t draft Matt Leinart. I do wish Donte Whitner would start to justify that they picked him instead, though.

:: Ben Roethlisberger is a great quarterback, but he’s also an ass and I have no problem with his suspension on those grounds. I’m not at all sure why his suspension, however, is for a longer duration that Marshawn Lynch’s 2009 suspension, which came after Lynch pleaded guilty to three misdemeanor charges.

:: Every year, some playoff team from the previous year turns out to be surprisingly bad the next. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Jets are that team this year. I’m just not sold on them.

:: The Bills may be lucky in that several of the teams likely to be in their neighborhood as bad teams already have their quarterbacks of the future (for the moment). St Louis and Detroit are likely to be bad (although I think Detroit’s years as a stinkpile team may be nearly over), and they’ve got their guys already. Ditto Carolina, who drafted two quarterback prospects in 2010. The other teams most likely to finish near the top of the draft board and need to find new QBs next year are Tampa Bay and Cleveland.

:: I was confused all off-season by the legions of sportswriters assuming that Terrell Owens was pretty much done, after his worst statistical season of his career in 2009. Did they not see the guys who were throwing him the ball in Buffalo last year? No receiver’s going to put up big numbers with Ryan Fitzpatrick and/or Brian Brohm in the pocket for half the season. Owens is in the twilight of his career, certainly, but let’s not be sticking the fork in him quite yet.

:: OK, Super Bowl picks. I won’t pick New England, because (a) they just aren’t as talented as they used to be, (b) I’m unsold on Bill Belichick’s ability to run the offense and the defense, (c) I think Tom Brady is closer to physical decline than a lot of people think (a likelihood that goes up with every playoff run from here on out), and (d) I hate them. Nor will I pick San Diego, because they’ve still got Norv Turner as head coach. (What possessed them to dump Marty Schottenheimer and then go after Norv Turner as their “guy who can win the big one” is beyond me.) Likewise, I won’t pick Dallas because they’ve got Wade Phillips calling the shots. Washington will continue to be a mess, Mike Shanahan notwithstanding. New Orleans looks like they could repeat, but the last time I thought a team had a great chance to repeat (the Bucs in 2003), they ended up stinking up the joint. So that narrows me down to Indianapolis (in what I think may well be Peyton Manning’s last real shot before physical decline starts to rear its ugly head with him, too) and Green Bay.

My Super Bowl prediction: the Colts beat the Packers.

And remember, folks: now that I’m on record as having predicted all of these things, none of them will actually happen! Hooray!

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